The Perfect Storm – Part 3
Today's tsunami in Samoa is much like the economic recession that we are in. The factors that caused it were like the earthquake. Once that happens, the wave is coming, and there is nothing that will stop it.
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Current Methods Of Fund Selection Deny 60 Million Mutual Fund Investors Access To Wealth Creation.
Why is there such a disparity between the net real returns of 8-9% produced by the Mutual Fund Winners Spreadsheet (MFWS) http://www.mutualfundwinnerpicks.com since 1994 compared to the average investor’s net real returns of 1-2% – confirmed by Dalbar’s and the FRB’s recent independent study updates – after fees, expenses, taxes and inflation?
Rather than bemoan this sad state of affairs and since it is unrealistic to expect expenses, taxes and inflation to be drastically reduced any time soon, the approach was to find out what controllable factor(s) are responsible for this corrosive drag on performance.
Since fees are controllable, the MFWS is confined only to no-load/no-fee funds. These funds incur no outside additional acquisition costs giving the fund investor an initial, but limited, boost in returns. While this was a valuable contribution, the investigation was not satisfied and probed further and deeper into the problem.
Why should the average investor be subjected to a 95% chance of zero wealth creation over a lifetime of employment?
After 15 years of research using over 200 million data cells and some luck, the culprit was found. It was adverse selection, which is the systematic selection of more losers than winners usually on a 75:25 ratio basis, caused by an overwhelming number of losers. By reversing these odds, mathematically, many times more winners than losers are now easily and consistently picked.
A winner is defined as a fund whose performance consistently outperforms the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index over time.
A loser is defined as a fund whose performance consistently under performs the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index over time.
The MFWS was designed in 1994 to enable investors with no previous fund investment experience (or with loads of it) to pick winners, to overcome adverse selection, to become wealth creators and take control of their financial lives.
Isn’t it time the mutual fund industry stopped relying on gossip, tips, slogans, anecdotes… and begin using basic, proven scientific principles to help at least 60 million fund investors create wealth?
Arthur Regen, Managing Director, Regen Associates http://www.mutualfundwinnerpicks.com RegenAssociates@comcast.net
888.666.8921